Category: Speculations

A few updates

- Gold: sold those GLD puts for a 101.5% gain on Tuesday; reversed polarity and bought a few calls. No strong opinion on gold, just thought I’d try this after seeing Tim Knight’s end-of-day video on Monday, which suggested GLD might have hit a support level at the bottom of a channel (though his video [...]

Gold

I just submitted an article about this to Seeking Alpha, so if they publish it, I’ll link to it here [Update: it's been published: "Gold Gets Hammered"]. But in the meantime, here’s a tl;dr version:
I wrote the two articles linked to below last month.  They proved to be good timing. After writing the second one, [...]

A timely article?

I wrote this on August 4th,  “Why you should consider hedging if you own gold“.
And this follow up Monday night (published yesterday), in which I noted that the hedging costs mentioned in the first article had doubled: “Gold goes parabolic, hedging costs rise“. I took that spike in hedging costs as a bearish signal, and [...]

Another two speculative options bets

In previous posts elsewhere, I’ve mentioned a few guidelines I’ve been keeping in mind when making speculative options buys (the first three of which are mentioned in Tim Knight’s book, Chart Your Way to Profits):

Start small (since options often expire worthless).
Avoid out-of-the-money-options (instead, try to get ones with some intrinsic value).
Avoid nearby expiration dates (to [...]

Links and thoughts for 5.06.2011

A couple of columns worth reading on the Bin Laden aftermath:
– Victor Davis Hanson: “Bin laden Fallout”
– Christopher Hitchens: “Death of a Madman”

A profile of a manufacturing entrepreneur in Britain, via the FT:
– “A Bastion of British Engineering”.
A couple of brief excerpts:
I started this business in a one-car garage with [...]

One that got away

A friend who works in the industry had spoken positively about Trubion Pharmaceuticals a few months back, and I added it to my watch list, figuring it I might buy after a significant market correction. After the close today, the company announced it was getting bought out by Emergent BioSolutions. It was up ~50% after [...]

The neutral zone

In a post Thursday (“Road to Nowhere”), Tim Knight wrote,
With the exception of commissions-based brokers, it’s hard to believe there’s anyone out there who has really enjoyed the stock market over the past few months. I mean, just look at the ES [S&P e-mini futures] below.

Tim Knight still thinks the S&P’s going to decline to [...]

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Eminent securities attorney, irreverent Wall Street blogger, and proprietor of BrokeandBroker.com.
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